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Basic Probability Theory for Biomedical Engineers - JohnD. Enderle

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    Basic Probability Theory for Biomedical Engineers - JohnD. Enderle









    ABSTRACT

    This is the first in a series of short books on probability theory and random processes for

    biomedical engineers. This text is written as an introduction to probability theory. The goal was

    to prepare students, engineers and scientists at all levels of background and experience for the

    application of this theory to a wide variety of problems—as well as pursue these topics at a more

    advanced level. The approach is to present a unified treatment of the subject. There are only

    a few key concepts involved in the basic theory of probability theory. These key concepts are

    all presented in the first chapter. The second chapter introduces the topic of random variables.

    Later chapters simply expand upon these key ideas and extend the range of application. A

    considerable effort has been made to develop the theory in a logical manner—developing

    special mathematical skills as needed. The mathematical background required of the reader

    is basic knowledge of differential calculus. Every effort has been made to be consistent with

    commonly used notation and terminology—both within the engineering community as well

    as the probability and statistics literature. Biomedical engineering examples are introduced

    throughout the text and a large number of self-study problems are available for the reader.



    KEYWORDS

    Probability Theory, Random Processes, Engineering Statistics, Probability and Statistics for

    Biomedical Engineers, Statistics.



    Introduction

    We all face uncertainty. A chance encounter, an unpredicted rain or something more serious

    such as an auto accident or illness. Ordinarily, the uncertainty faced in our daily routine is never

    quantified and is left as a feeling or intuition. In engineering applications, however, uncertainty

    must be quantitatively defined, and analyzed in a mathematically rigorous manner resulting in

    an appropriate and consistent solution. Probability theory provides the tools to analyze, in a

    deductive manner, the nondeterministic or random aspects of a problem. Our goal is to develop

    this theory in an axiomatic framework and to demonstrate how it can be used to solve many

    practical problems in electrical engineering.



    In this first chapter, we introduce the elementary aspects of probability theory upon which

    the following chapter on random variables and chapters in subsequent short books are based.

    The discussion of probability theory in this book provides a strong foundation for continued

    study in virtually every field of biomedical engineering, and many of the techniques developed

    may also be applied to other disciplines.



    The theory of probability provides procedures for analyzing random phenomena, phenomena

    which exhibit behavior that is unpredictable or cannot be determined exactly. Moreover,

    understanding probability theory is essential before one can use statistics. An easy way to explain

    what is meant by probability theory is to examine several physical situations that lead to

    probability theory problems. First consider tossing a fair coin and predicting the outcome of

    the toss. It is impossible to exactly predict the outcome of the coin flip, so the most we can

    do is state a chance of our prediction occurring. Next, consider telemetry or a communication

    system. The signal received consists of the message and/or data plus an undesired signal called

    thermal noise which is heard as a hiss. The noise is caused by the thermal or random motion

    of electrons in the conducting media of the receiver—wires, resistors, etc. The signal received

    also contains noise picked up as the signal travels through the atmosphere. Note that it is impossible

    to exactly compute the value of the noise caused by the random motion of the billions

    of charged particles in the receiver’s amplification stages or added in the environment. Thus, it

    is impossible to completely remove the undesired noise from the signal. We will see, however,

    that probability theory provides a means by which most of the unwanted noise is removed.







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